Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $832.98
- Potential payout
- $72.43K
- Potential profit
- $71.6K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$7.49K
Polymarket Trader
0x6302CDeFa498e7174dd0fcD6b06652A38eAe7917-1720863615256
0x6302cdefa498e7174dd0fcd6b06652a38eae7917
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $855.48
- Realized PnL
- $65.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$297.5
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$445.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $691.79
- Potential profit
- $691.79
- User PnL
- -$189.54
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$115
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$102
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.65
- Potential profit
- $298.65
- User PnL
- -$47.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.72K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.47K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.57K
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $721.91
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $680.33
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $663.28
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.01
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.46
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.68
No position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.68
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.83
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $363.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 4.1% 2,445.57 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.3% 4,449.88 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes 38.6% 2,600 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes 40% 900 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 93.8% 4,999.99 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No 98.3% 10,442.51 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 99% 33,898.65 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 5.3% 1,885.24 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 4.9% 423 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 4.8% 487 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 8% 16,339.41 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 86% 163.22 shares