Polymarket Trader

a94871818

0x630f096a6333421f162cb430374e73e94e435501

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.29K
Realized PnL: $1.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Ends May 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $143.75
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Ends May 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $19.41
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.2%
Current value: $380.62
Potential payout: $924.96
Potential profit: $544.34
Multiplier: 2.43x
User PnL: $220.62

Yes position

Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Ends May 30, 2027

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $27.66
Potential payout: $650.74
Potential profit: $623.09
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$2.34

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Ends May 30, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $46.88
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $578.13
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $211.58
Potential payout: $361.99
Potential profit: $150.41
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $131.58

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Ends May 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $38.33
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $295
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Ends May 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $38.33
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $295
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Ends May 30, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $29
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $171
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $39.26
Potential payout: $148.15
Potential profit: $108.89
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $36.71
Potential payout: $88.46
Potential profit: $51.75
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $19.71

No position

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $34.46
Potential payout: $85.08
Potential profit: $50.62
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.54

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $39.04
Potential payout: $80.5
Potential profit: $41.46
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $4.04

Yes position

Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $9.62
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $67.31
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $18.15
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $55.93
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $4.67
Potential payout: $72.93
Potential profit: $68.26
Multiplier: 15.63x
User PnL: -$5.33

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $46.18
Potential payout: $72.73
Potential profit: $26.55
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $6.18

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $19.69
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $42.81
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.6%
Current value: $34.44
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $24.38
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $24.44

Yes position

Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $9.81
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $27.22
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $9.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $23.5
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $21.22
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $5.81
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $11.92
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $13.72
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $1.92

Argentina position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $19.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $5.13
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.33

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.24

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.47

Yes position

Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.33

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.82

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.91

Over position

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.49

Yes position

Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.55

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.77

Yes position

Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.22

Yes position

Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.08

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.17

Yes position

Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.8

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.46

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.06

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.7

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.16

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.1

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.56

Over position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.77

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.5

Yes position

Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Yes 12% 333.33 shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Yes 12% 333.33 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Yes 15% 200 shares
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Yes 4.6% 650.74 shares
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Yes 8% 625 shares
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Yes 1.7% 1,176.47 shares
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Yes 12% 1,250 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 48% 20.83 shares
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

No 41% 48.78 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-18?

Yes 27% 37.04 shares
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?

Yes 27% 74.07 shares