No position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $841.51
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $716.85
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $65.53
Polymarket Trader
fabelhaft
0x63110a626a2f38f9d9480441f3418a7999674cff
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $921.81
- Realized PnL
- $857.98
- Win rate
- 63.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $80.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $419.75
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- -$19.75
Yes position
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $88.52
- Potential profit
- $88.47
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$49.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.35
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.31
Yes position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $127.3
No position
Will "Megapixel" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.86
No position
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.48
No position
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.2
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.24
No position
Will "Apple Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.93
No position
Will "Siri" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.59
No position
Will "Apple Music" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.43
No position
Will "Performance" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.22
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13
Yes position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.4
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.14
Yes position
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.59
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$64.17
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No 40.8% 431.44 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 59.8% 294.17 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 61.6% 294.17 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No 40.8% 490.26 shares
- Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes 30.5% 328.31 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No 62.8% 636.66 shares
- Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 29% 28.98 shares
- Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 27% 43.91 shares
- Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 17% 210.77 shares
- Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes 96.8% 234.8 shares
- Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes 42.6% 234.81 shares
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 74% 74.5 shares