Polymarket Trader

ChristianMueller6110

0x63174a54f818a8fbf01037be21d8bf51bf85e864

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.83K
Realized PnL: $1.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

St. Louis Cardinals position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $358
Potential payout: $716
Potential profit: $358
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$7.16

No position

Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $592
Potential payout: $592
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $159.84

Yes position

Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-02-15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $525
Potential profit: $525
User PnL: -$168

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $421.52
Potential payout: $479
Potential profit: $57.48
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $86.22

Under position

Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $453
Potential payout: $453
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $185.73

Yes position

Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416
Potential profit: $416
User PnL: -$74.88

Yes position

Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318
Potential profit: $318
User PnL: -$66.78

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 18?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242
Potential profit: $242
User PnL: -$162.14

Yes position

Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $211.52
Potential profit: $211.52
User PnL: -$23.27

No position

Will Ole Miss make the College Football Playoff?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163
Potential profit: $163
User PnL: -$10.27

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144
Potential profit: $144
User PnL: -$25.92

No position

Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $84
User PnL: -$54.91

Yes position

US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83
Potential profit: $83
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $82
User PnL: -$2.21

Yes position

Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $4.14
Potential payout: $69
Potential profit: $64.86
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$31.74

Yes position

Will Eva Victor - Sorry, Baby win Best First-Time Director of a Theatrical Feature Film at the 78th DGA Awards?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: -$50.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $48
User PnL: -$4.32

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $48
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41
Potential profit: $41
User PnL: -$5.44

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $26
User PnL: -$4.68

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.69
Potential profit: $21.69
User PnL: -$5.42

Yes position

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $16.96
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $16
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in December 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.44
Potential profit: $14.44
User PnL: -$0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $344.86

Yes position

Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.41

No position

Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.33

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.42

Under position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.88

Yes position

Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.9

No position

Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.19

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.5

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.51

No position

Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.63

No position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.72

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.88

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $38.4

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.5

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.08

No position

Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.04

No position

Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.32

Yes position

Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $26.04

Yes position

Will Trump say "Maduro" during the announcement on December 22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.83

Yes position

Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.64

Yes position

Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.79

Yes position

Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.24

No position

Will the US strike Syria next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.21

No position

Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $22.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

No 16% 37 shares
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

No 17% 37 shares
Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?

No 73% 592 shares
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

No 86% 444 shares
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

No 81% 444 shares
Will Alianza FC win on 2026-04-19?

No 71% 202 shares
Will Alianza FC win on 2026-04-19?

No 71% 255 shares
Will Alianza FC win on 2026-04-19?

No 73% 457 shares
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?

No 38% 475 shares
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?

No 38% 178 shares
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?

No 49% 653 shares
Anduril IPO before 2027?

No 71% 565 shares