Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $71.55K
- Potential payout
- $71.59K
- Potential profit
- $35.79
- User PnL
- $35.79
Polymarket Trader
dube
0x631c2b93ff03c21d29b2b73af4ff965e88ea450f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $71.55K
- Realized PnL
- $30.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $397.36
- Potential profit
- $397.36
- User PnL
- -$35.95
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.05
- Potential profit
- $120.05
- User PnL
- -$14.21
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8.4
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $6.03
- Potential profit
- $4.79
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43K
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.87K
No position
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
No position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
No position
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $998.47
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $937.37
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $814.15
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $795.41
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $777.2
No position
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $724.36
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $687.87
No position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $653.1
No position
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $647.19
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $633.71
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $587.89
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $587.71
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $584.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 439.4 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.1% 810 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.3% 4,902.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.3% 12,086.35 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes 5% 92.9 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 30% 6.03 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes 2.6% 92.9 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 98.8% 1,697.57 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No 99.5% 1,000 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 90.1% 751.14 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.7% 30,134.51 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 86.3% 28.42 shares