Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.06K
- Potential profit
- $8.06K
- User PnL
- -$130.44
Polymarket Trader
hardfish
0x631fc64f86b590d1d0c326ccddec59146a5cf062
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $630.44
- Realized PnL
- $50.65
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $30.27
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $15.47
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $85
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $915
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$155
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $515.17
- Potential payout
- $673.42
- Potential profit
- $158.25
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $74.99
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $357.14
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $120
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$119.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 43% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 10% 213.08 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 12% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 31% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 24% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 24% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 24% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes 0.8% 2,128.88 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 2.6% 499.97 shares