No position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.6
- Potential profit
- $37.6
- User PnL
- -$35.01
Polymarket Trader
philwat
0x633b7fa8a2670cd8d67bfef03b6fc21cb8aeff9e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $220.1
- Realized PnL
- $92.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Lucien Dodge as Akaza (Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.27
- Potential profit
- $32.27
- User PnL
- -$29.99
No position
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.7B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $20.85
- Potential payout
- $21.16
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.07
- Potential profit
- $21.07
- User PnL
- -$20
N
No position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $14.1
- Potential payout
- $16.3
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
N
No position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $14.51
- Potential payout
- $16.3
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.3B and $1.5B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $16.05
- Potential payout
- $16.21
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.97
N
No position
Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5% or more?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $14.83
- Potential payout
- $16.21
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
N
No position
Ghana to win the second half?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $15.11
- Potential payout
- $16.17
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
Ends Aug 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16.15
- Potential payout
- $16.16
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will Aoi Yuki as Maomao (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.96
- Potential profit
- $15.96
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $15.57
- Potential payout
- $15.94
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Quincy Bareebe be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $15.67
- Potential payout
- $15.92
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 5%?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.9
- Potential profit
- $15.9
- User PnL
- -$14.99
No position
Will Rushern Baker III be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $15.88
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.87
- Potential profit
- $15.87
- User PnL
- -$15.08
N
No position
Uzbekistan to win the second half?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $14.86
- Potential payout
- $15.83
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $12.62
- Potential payout
- $13.06
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $9.63
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
N
No position
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Fulham FC?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.74
- Potential profit
- $10.74
- User PnL
- -$9.99
No position
Will Cameron Boozer be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $8.51
- Potential payout
- $9.06
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Caleb Wilson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $8.02
- Potential payout
- $8.97
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $8.14
- Potential payout
- $8.19
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 8 or 9 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.19
- Potential profit
- $8.19
- User PnL
- -$7.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
LOUD position
Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Under position
Birmingham City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Under position
CA Platense vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
Will Incheon United FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Hull City AFC position
Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Qingdao Hainiu FC position
Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Will Kōchi United SC vs. Albirex Niigata end in a draw?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Will Oxford United FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
Under position
Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 7.5
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
Over position
Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
New York Red Bulls position
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54
Over position
Flyers vs. Jets: O/U 4.5
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Under position
Wild vs. Predators: O/U 7.5
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
D.C. United SC position
Spread: New England Revolution (-1.5)
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
Under position
Sporting Kansas City vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 4.5
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5% or more?No 93% 16.21 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 93% 1.58 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?No 93% 5.24 shares
- Will Rushern Baker III be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?No 94.5% 15.88 shares
- Qatar to win the second half?No 93% 16.21 shares
- Will Lara Bird win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?Yes 95% 15.87 shares
- Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?Yes 95% 15.87 shares
- Rainbow Six Siege: LOUD vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Group StageNinjas in Pyjamas 86.1% 16.04 shares
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of June 8 2026?No 89% 2.53 shares
- Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage100 Thieves 43% 1.1 shares
- Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $122 Week of June 8 2026?No 92% 1.45 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 12, 2026?No 92% 4.68 shares