No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $206.44
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $183.76
Polymarket Trader
0x633fdd77ddf73aEdd42e5AF1eB4104fdc5243c8A-1730986921208
0x633fdd77ddf73aedd42e5af1eb4104fdc5243c8a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.29K
- Realized PnL
- $8.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $386.16
- Potential payout
- $649.01
- Potential profit
- $262.85
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $110.36
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $528.26
- Potential payout
- $559.01
- Potential profit
- $30.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $208.27
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $70.78
- Potential payout
- $524.28
- Potential profit
- $453.5
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$41.22
No position
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $443.16
- Potential payout
- $492.4
- Potential profit
- $49.24
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $43.16
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $85.69
- Potential payout
- $368.58
- Potential profit
- $282.88
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- $15.66
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $310.59
- Potential payout
- $352.94
- Potential profit
- $42.35
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $10.59
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.07
- Potential profit
- $344.07
- User PnL
- -$11.87
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $205.13
- Potential payout
- $256.41
- Potential profit
- $51.28
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $5.13
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.43
- Potential profit
- $217.43
- User PnL
- -$50.01
No position
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $217.09
- Potential payout
- $217.41
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- User PnL
- $17.09
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $211.68
- Potential payout
- $214.36
- Potential profit
- $2.68
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $11.68
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $10.58
- Potential payout
- $184.04
- Potential profit
- $173.46
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$5.42
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $171.29
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$48.88
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $74.95
- Potential payout
- $161.18
- Potential profit
- $86.23
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$31.43
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $22.07
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $120.79
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $17.76
- Potential payout
- $141.51
- Potential profit
- $123.75
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $109.21
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $9.21
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $96.77
- Potential profit
- $96.15
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.59
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.32
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.24
- Potential profit
- $69.24
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $7.86
- Potential payout
- $66.93
- Potential profit
- $59.07
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.52
- Potential profit
- $64.52
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4K
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $662.52
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $578.07
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $498.73
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.4
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.87
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.1
No position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.14
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.81
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.7
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.01
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.47
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.28
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.27
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.85
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.67
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.64
Yes position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.64
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.62
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.86
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.8
No position
Will Trump announce tariffs on Brazil on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.15
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 14% 71.43 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 34.9% 131.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 16.9% 118.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 81% 135.8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 50% 60 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.9% 56.18 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.7% 172.41 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.6% 141.51 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 62.11 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17% 58.82 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 98.1% 319.14 shares
- Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes 21% 4.76 shares