Polymarket Trader

merkant

@cryptoniker

0x635f6c9b0a8abda3655a0177185de714f30d92f3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.13
Realized PnL: $1.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$97.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $551.4
Potential profit: $551.4
User PnL: -$2.01

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $528.55
Potential profit: $528.55
User PnL: -$28.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $457.44
Potential profit: $457.44
User PnL: -$104.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $430.56
Potential profit: $430.56
User PnL: -$87.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401.98
Potential profit: $401.98
User PnL: -$71.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$3

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $273.11
Potential profit: $273.11
User PnL: -$26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.2
Potential profit: $254.2
User PnL: -$29.9

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250.14
Potential profit: $250.01
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$56.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.98
Potential profit: $249.98
User PnL: -$5.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.98
Potential profit: $249.98
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.11
Potential profit: $234.11
User PnL: -$16.96

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.07
Potential profit: $218.07
User PnL: -$31.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.31
Potential profit: $196.31
User PnL: -$22.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.18
Potential profit: $189.18
User PnL: -$34.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.02
Potential profit: $189.02
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.71
Potential profit: $174.71
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.36
Potential profit: $174.36
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.05
Potential profit: $172.05
User PnL: -$89.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.63
Potential profit: $166.63
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $372.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.25

Under position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.62

paiN position

Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.54

Monte position

Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.69

Monte position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 47.35 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 52.8% 47.36 shares
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 40% 66.62 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 15.8% 63.4 shares
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 14.8% 66.62 shares
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 5.7% 174.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Up 6% 26.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Up 18.6% 26.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Up 15% 38.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Up 26% 38.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Down 1% 114.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Down 7% 71.43 shares