No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $31.98
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $20.02
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $5.98
Polymarket Trader
0x6360...b8a3
0x636059f2e52e7c6f1c8138df41fb63717e83b8a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $64.79
- Realized PnL
- -$15.95
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $10.08
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Current value
- $8.58
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $8.4
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.7%
- Current value
- $3.81
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.19
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $4.48
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.9%
- Multiplier
- 2.79x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Multiplier
- 14.49x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.3%
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$8.58
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 50.5% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 92.3% 5 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 71% 9 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 27.8% 5 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 90.8% 7 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?Yes 94.3% 5 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.9% 20 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 76.9% 13 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 87.2% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 24.8% 7 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 75.3% 8 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 62% 9 shares