Polymarket Trader

javictoria

0x6365faf63d02cc1e4a58d278041a6f5cb923eba8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $870.71
Realized PnL: $207.59
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $590.41
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.41K
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $324.72

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $14.22
Potential payout: $517.24
Potential profit: $503.02
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $16.96
Potential payout: $188.46
Potential profit: $171.5
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$3.04

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $65.79
Potential payout: $120.72
Potential profit: $54.93
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $92.48
Potential profit: $91.09
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$8.61

No position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $51.82
Potential payout: $68.18
Potential profit: $16.36
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $6.82

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $41.95
Potential payout: $51.48
Potential profit: $9.53
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $4.58

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $40.68
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $40.65
Potential profit: $35.96
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $25.39
Potential payout: $27.17
Potential profit: $1.78
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $11.45
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $14.87
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $6.45

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $3.67
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $11.95
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $3.64
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $11.52
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$1.36

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $3.96
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $2.86

Yes position

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $2.74
Potential payout: $6.76
Potential profit: $4.02
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$2.26

Yes position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $6.75
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.97

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $5.74
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $4.55
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $1.51
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.3

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.1

Yes position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.07

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

FC Barcelona position

Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.74

No position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.66

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

No position

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.94

Yes position

Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

No position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

Yes position

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 22?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

No position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Will Solana reach $100 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 81% 13.49 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?

Yes 70.7% 6.75 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?

No 31.2% 15.57 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?

No 32.1% 15.58 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?

Yes 73.5% 6.85 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?

Yes 35.9% 6.85 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 83% 2.65 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 84% 0.23 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

Yes 22% 5.32 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 84% 0.02 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 84% 0.49 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 10% 50 shares