Polymarket Trader

AmandaFrederick3937

@AtencioAvi6586

0x636ac7eb59e7d1fdadd6cc788a87435d90e109aa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $451.41
Realized PnL: $4.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $249.95
Potential payout: $305
Potential profit: $55.05
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $4.73

No position

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.1%
Current value: $179.95
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $29.05
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $6.48

No position

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $13.18
Potential payout: $73
Potential profit: $59.82
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.88
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $20.13
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$5.64

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $4.94
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Millonarios FC position

Spread: Millonarios FC (-1.5)

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $738.03

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318.25

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.92

Yes position

Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.56

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 15, 11AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.15

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.65

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185

sleepers position

Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffs

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.44

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.4

Jacksonville State Gamecocks position

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.45

No position

Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $122.55

Yes position

Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $105.17

Yes position

Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.25

Yes position

Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.41

Over position

Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.3

Yes position

Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.22

Over position

Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.03

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.25

No position

Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.17

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.27

Yes position

Will Trump say "Too Late" this week? (December 22 - 28)

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.34

No position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

Yes position

Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.8%
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $58.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

No 80% 464 shares
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

No 80% 320 shares
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?

No 25.5% 101 shares
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

No 83% 993 shares
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

No 76% 365 shares
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

No 74% 365 shares
Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-07?

No 59% 1,011 shares
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)

South Carolina State Bulldogs 29% 720 shares
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 56% 145 shares
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

No 19.6% 73 shares
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 65% 905 shares
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 69% 1,050 shares