Polymarket Trader

nicolaober

0x636bf58b6bb926627021ae6d4cb4e126c9800f6f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $928.84
Realized PnL: $1.67K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$26.63

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $530.15
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $778.86
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $22.25

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $398.7
Potential payout: $659
Potential profit: $260.31
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$23.06

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69
Potential profit: $69
User PnL: -$13.11

Warriors position

Lakers vs. Warriors

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.35
Potential profit: $59.35
User PnL: -$37.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3AM ET

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7PM ET

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1AM ET

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2PM ET

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3PM ET

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 5PM ET

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

Central Michigan position

Spread: Bowling (-3.5)

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4PM ET

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 6PM ET

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 7PM ET

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.5

Georgia Tech position

Spread: Duke (-3.5)

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.16

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.94

No position

Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.58

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Pacers

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.05

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Down position

Solana Up or Down - October 18, 5PM ET

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$102.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5PM ET

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$143.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 12AM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$146.5

Under position

LSU vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 48.5

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$161

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8PM ET

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$216.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4PM ET

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$219.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

No 94.1% 22 shares
Pistons vs. Pacers

Pistons 89% 54.64 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?

No 89% 14.76 shares
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks

Hurricanes 66% 41 shares
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

No 81% 55.36 shares
Lakers vs. Warriors

Warriors 64% 58.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5PM ET

Down 50% 287 shares