Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.04K
- Potential profit
- $4.04K
- User PnL
- -$4.04
Polymarket Trader
elonboi
0x637dfbd331e271aa980346744a9fa43410763546
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $105.49
- Realized PnL
- $144.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $490.68
- Potential profit
- $490.68
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $19.42
- Potential payout
- $90.31
- Potential profit
- $70.89
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$12.48
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $45.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $4.25
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $28.52
- Potential payout
- $40.45
- Potential profit
- $11.93
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $8.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.01
- Potential profit
- $35.01
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.88
- Potential profit
- $30.88
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.25
- Potential profit
- $26.25
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.41
- Potential profit
- $22.41
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.92
- Potential profit
- $20.92
- User PnL
- -$2.51
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.9
- Potential profit
- $20.9
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.85
- Potential profit
- $20.85
- User PnL
- -$3.75
No position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.58
- Potential profit
- $20.58
- User PnL
- -$8.64
Yes position
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.56
- Potential profit
- $20.56
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.36
- Potential profit
- $20.36
- User PnL
- -$7.92
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.2
- Potential profit
- $20.2
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $3.65
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.35
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- $1.87
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $8.16
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $7.84
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.37
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.22
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.49
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13
No position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.53
No position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes 16% 7.18 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes 44% 10.17 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?Yes 33% 5.1 shares
- Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?Yes 27% 5.11 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes 49% 5.07 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 52% 5.07 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 56% 10.13 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 58% 5.06 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 60% 5.06 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 66% 5.05 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 56% 5.06 shares
- Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes 25% 10.23 shares