Polymarket Trader

fluxai.mercy.wo

0x6383add760221de8b9e20323b219181b3399b471

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.44
Realized PnL: $6.13
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $5.09
Potential profit: $2.06
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.35

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.87
Potential profit: $4.87
User PnL: -$3

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $3.71
Potential payout: $4.34
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.98
Potential profit: $3.98
User PnL: -$2.66

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $2.83
Potential profit: $1.14
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.57
Potential profit: $1.57
User PnL: -$0.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Yes 53% 5 shares
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 46% 2.83 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

No 58% 5 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?

Yes 39% 3.08 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

No 57% 5.09 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 35.8% 3.35 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

No 61.6% 4.87 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 69% 5 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

No 53% 4.34 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

No 67% 3.92 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Yes 62.6% 1.54 shares