Polymarket Trader

csaire

0x6383eac05fee3981cf28cfd60e276ddc49e1bb68

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $13.4
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.57
Potential profit: $4.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.41
Potential profit: $4.41
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.15
Potential profit: $3.15
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.86
Potential profit: $1.86
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $1.59
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $1.15
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.43

No position

Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 15% 7.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Yes 53.7% 1.86 shares
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 11,789.56 shares
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 200 shares
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Yes 4.1% 24.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 18.9% 5.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Up 95% 1.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Up 54% 1.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Down 2% 50 shares