Polymarket Trader

Waterfall

@911Waterfall

0x63850ce907044eac77fba13d59f263ade68093f2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.47K
Realized PnL: $25.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $1.98K
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $71.87
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $68.72

No position

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $25.97
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $102.49

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $923.46
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $283.68
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $296.58

No position

Will Ethena reach $0.20 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $98.1
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $1.9
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 76.9%
Current value: $11.54
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $3.47
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $6.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's robot race video get between 60 and 65 million views on week 1?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30–35 million views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 37.5 and 38.0 million views on day 5?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $949.35

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $892.53

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $889.2

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $872.75

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $856.43

No position

Will MrBeast's latest video get 16–18 million views on day 1?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $823.77

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $803.46

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $741.66

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $719.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $693.84

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Tesla" or "Lamborghini" during his next video?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $688.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?

Yes 94.6% 1,715.26 shares
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?

Yes 62% 25.83 shares
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?

Yes 63% 793.65 shares
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal?

Yes 38% 10.24 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

No 55% 609.05 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

No 48.8% 598.09 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?

Yes 66% 313.3 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?

Yes 38.5% 485.54 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 46 million views on day 3?

No 37% 117.99 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 46 million views on day 3?

Yes 59.2% 112.18 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

No 99.7% 6,733.94 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 46 million views on day 3?

Yes 29.8% 112.18 shares