Smidty

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $426.72
Potential profit: $426.72
User PnL: -$11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $226.06
Potential profit: $226.06
User PnL: -$11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.03
Potential profit: $209.03
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.93
Potential profit: $183.93
User PnL: -$22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.63
Potential profit: $171.63
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160.34
Potential profit: $160.34
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.81
Potential profit: $141.81
User PnL: -$8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.09
Potential profit: $129.09
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.91
Potential profit: $127.91
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $14.89
Potential payout: $119.09
Potential profit: $104.2
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$10.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.84
Potential profit: $100.84
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $3.46
Potential payout: $100.26
Potential profit: $96.8
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $91.6
Potential profit: $91.05
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$4.45

Yes position

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $11.33
Potential payout: $90.61
Potential profit: $79.28
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$8.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.43
Potential profit: $86.43
User PnL: -$43

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $8.9
Potential payout: $65.22
Potential profit: $56.32
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.37
Potential profit: $50.37
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.33
Potential profit: $50.33
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $50.01
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $14.77
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $30.68
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.02

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.08

No position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.59

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET