Yes position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.3K
- Potential profit
- $103.3K
- User PnL
- -$12.22K
Polymarket Trader
mostobesegoldfish
0x63b10df4bfa6d03b909ae728ee79964a594c1676
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.64K
- Realized PnL
- $361.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $376.5
Yes position
Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- User PnL
- -$163.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $307.5
Yes position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $57
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$78
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $44
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $956
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.75K
Yes position
Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.8K
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.65K
No position
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.32K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.47K
Yes position
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?
Ends Jun 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.22K
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.67K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.91K
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.75K
49ers position
Falcons vs. 49ers
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2K
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.95K
No position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.61K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25K
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08K
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55K
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41K
No position
Will Slovenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18K
Yes position
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06K
No position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96K
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54K
Jaguars position
Chiefs vs. Jaguars
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1K
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
No position
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 58% 499.98 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 0.2% 1,149.98 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 46.9% 2,000 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 95.4% 450 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 1,000 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 3% 423.56 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.7% 2,859 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 10% 986.36 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 17% 1,672.53 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 17% 430.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.8% 2,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 95.9% 263.57 shares