Polymarket Trader

parfaitparfait

0x63b448724fc9b9e0ce84006cd4a960dedb0d7e30

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.47K
Realized PnL: $8.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.7K
User PnL: -$56.21

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.49K
Potential profit: $3.49K
User PnL: -$439.55

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $321.11
Potential payout: $3.38K
Potential profit: $3.06K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$415.85

Yes position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.15K
Potential profit: $3.15K
User PnL: -$315.78

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $3.08K
User PnL: -$336.41

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.98K
Potential profit: $2.98K
User PnL: -$586.64

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2.26K
User PnL: -$230.99

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.14K
User PnL: -$125.99

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $2.04K
User PnL: -$112.34

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $1.65K
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $71.64
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $88.93

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$85.5

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
User PnL: -$195

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $4.13
User PnL: $78.57

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$191.09

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$97.11

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$292.5

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $111.9
Potential payout: $952.38
Potential profit: $840.48
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $11.91

No position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $949.29
Potential profit: $949.29
User PnL: -$644.09

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$184

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $787.26
Potential profit: $787.26
User PnL: -$57.64

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $678.15
Potential payout: $749.34
Potential profit: $71.19
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $198.15

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $529.82
Potential payout: $701.75
Potential profit: $171.93
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $129.83

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $695.65
Potential profit: $695.65
User PnL: -$160

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Welsh Labour win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $949.37

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $765.74

Youtube Allstars position

Sidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $647.68

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $580.71

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $434.47

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $427.94

Yes position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $416.1

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $404.44

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.06

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $387.49

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be ≥45.5% on September 26?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $352.79

Yes position

Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $282.93

No position

Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.8

No position

Will another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.95

No position

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.48

Yes position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.23

Yes position

Democratic sweep?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.82

No position

Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.43

Yes position

Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.89

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.97

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.3

No position

Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.72

No position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.12

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Yes 9% 333.33 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 8% 1,250 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

No 40% 375 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

No 12% 1,000 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

No 76% 263.16 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Down 17% 176.47 shares
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Yes 26% 115.38 shares
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 30% 266.67 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.5% 952.38 shares
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 20% 86.98 shares
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.9% 177.65 shares
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 75% 400 shares