No position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $65.5
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $942.23
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$374.12
Polymarket Trader
Ortofecal
0x63bbe57f8f5e7aea95e09f4a4e55c529dc40d9ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $689.92
- Realized PnL
- $590.68
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $21.39
- Potential payout
- $277.8
- Potential profit
- $256.41
- Multiplier
- 12.99x
- User PnL
- -$159.87
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $173.47
- Potential payout
- $229.76
- Potential profit
- $56.29
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $40.21
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $14.67
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $193.67
- Multiplier
- 14.20x
- User PnL
- -$5.33
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $116.36
- Potential payout
- $162.74
- Potential profit
- $46.38
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $10.09
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Norah O'Donnell by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $62.51
- Potential payout
- $120.21
- Potential profit
- $57.7
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $6.76
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $106.88
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$3.24
No position
Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $95.76
- Potential payout
- $105.23
- Potential profit
- $9.47
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $19.99
Y
Yes position
Will Spain win the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $12.6
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $77.4
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $44.1
- Potential payout
- $85.62
- Potential profit
- $41.53
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$3.13
Yes position
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $46.35
- Potential payout
- $56.52
- Potential profit
- $10.17
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $6.35
No position
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $27.95
- Potential payout
- $44.01
- Potential profit
- $16.06
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $7.95
Yes position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $1.51
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $28.48
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
No position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$15.75
Yes position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $10.76
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.35
- Potential profit
- $10.35
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $138.47
No position
Will Trump say "Ethanol" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.55
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.18
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $48.79
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.57
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.99
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $19.55
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
Spain snap election called in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $17.24
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $16.11
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.38
Yes position
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $13.18
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $10.89
Yes position
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.58
No position
Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 22)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.73
No position
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $7.14
Yes position
Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $6.29
Yes position
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-04?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Yes position
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No 37% 15 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No 37% 47 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No 36% 5 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 94% 27.77 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No 41% 190 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No 41% 120 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 99.9% 42.42 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 66% 42.42 shares
- Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 99.9% 60.24 shares
- Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 16.6% 60.24 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.1% 50 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No 38% 12.9 shares