Yes position
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $5.37
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Polymarket Trader
srk-12-new
0x63cc1dda3207fe47ae8c6985bce7d3a60cd5523c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.98
- Realized PnL
- $11.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $5.28
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.72
- Potential payout
- $5.27
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.09
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.9%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $5.16
- Potential profit
- $3.77
- Multiplier
- 3.72x
- User PnL
- -$3.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.47
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 8-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
N
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 22-28?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Polymarket update