No position
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $33.69
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Polymarket Trader
Marceld5
0x63cf84d316ae0cb7d617e7baa3629d0e2826828e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $73.01
- Realized PnL
- $14.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will James Richardson be the Republican nominee for AL-01?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $22.97
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.2
Y
Yes position
Will Sydney Eugene be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.8%
- Current value
- $11.35
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $7.65
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.08
No position
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.6
No position
Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Man I Need by Olivia Dean be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $517,000 and $527,000 by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 41 million or more views on day 3?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 5?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will "Reminders of Him" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Heather McPherson win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sydney Eugene be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?Yes 97% 19 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on July 5?Yes 99.1% 33 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on July 5?Yes 99.9% 33 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.8% 18 shares
- Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No 99.8% 15 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 45 million views on day 3?No 99% 17 shares
- Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No 99.9% 34 shares
- Will "The Witness" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes 99% 18 shares
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes 99% 17 shares
- Will Richard Montgomery win the CA-01 Special Election?No 99% 17 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 99% 20 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No 99.9% 30.03 shares