Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.47
- Potential profit
- $204.47
- User PnL
- -$26.79
Polymarket Trader
mosclo
0x63d118d9796cb8f92aa0e6bc926d7813e63727df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.75
- Realized PnL
- $2.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.26
- Potential profit
- $30.26
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $22.65
- Potential profit
- $17.98
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $12.41
- Potential profit
- $11.39
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- -$9.28
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $8.04
- Potential payout
- $8.7
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.34
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.37
Yes position
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.28
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.94
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.54
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.58
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.71
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.31
Yes position
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-29?
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.23
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.74
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.26
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.88
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.77
No position
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.67
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.6
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.62
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.97
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.23
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.18
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.27
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.02
Yes position
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 30.9% 22.65 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92% 8.7 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 83% 7.59 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 83% 4.82 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?No 85.4% 722.17 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?No 91% 722.18 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Yes 48.1% 1,199.87 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No 68.4% 349.53 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No 68.1% 789 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No 94% 1,138.53 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?Yes 98.6% 1,068.93 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No 99.9% 1,056.98 shares