Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $635.99
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $164
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$108
Polymarket Trader
zabih
0x63dae515ddb09085da975c26d0466a2413359146
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.66K
- Realized PnL
- $2.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $542.99
- Potential payout
- $599.98
- Potential profit
- $57
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $252.99
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $369.33
- Potential payout
- $408.1
- Potential profit
- $38.77
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $44.93
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $341.56
- Potential payout
- $357.09
- Potential profit
- $15.53
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $129.31
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $249.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- User PnL
- $50.13
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $141.22
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $108.77
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$42.77
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$160
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $87.61
- Potential payout
- $186.39
- Potential profit
- $98.79
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $11.05
Yes position
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Current value
- $90.4
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9.6
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$12.2
No position
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $46.5
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $8.15
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $42.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $7.75
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $33.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $16.25
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.2%
- Current value
- $30.79
- Potential payout
- $35.31
- Potential profit
- $4.52
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $3.97
No position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $16.67
- Potential payout
- $20.21
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $7.55
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.7%
- Current value
- $8.46
- Potential payout
- $10.76
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.9%
- Current value
- $8.49
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $3.98
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $5.89
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $2.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $472.5
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.84
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.17
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.03
No position
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.8
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.4
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.33
No position
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.81
No position
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.14
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.68
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $46.5
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.38
Yes position
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.4
Yes position
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.49
No position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $23.63
Yes position
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.7
No position
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.9
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 81% 249.99 shares
- Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?No 93.1% 39.99 shares
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes 33.1% 50 shares
- Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 99.7% 11.85 shares
- ICE shooter charged by March 31?No 94% 60 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 88% 20 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No 96% 20 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?No 98.3% 20 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 69% 87.27 shares
- U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?No 91% 80 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 10% 20 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel 50.9% 480 shares