Yes position
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
girthgod69420
0x63de267c02aa8a7e82719e98b076a143100ea49b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.96
- Realized PnL
- $517.04
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.61
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $551.94
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $457.68
- Potential profit
- $457.68
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $381.73
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.12
Yes position
Trump announce run for 3rd term?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $336.44
- Potential profit
- $336.44
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Trump sue over South Park episode?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $327.89
- Potential profit
- $327.89
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $272.22
- Potential profit
- $272.22
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.62
- Potential profit
- $243.62
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.93
- Potential profit
- $182.93
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.78
- Potential profit
- $111.78
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $106.11
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $3.46
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $73.46
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$6.54
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.35
- Potential profit
- $76.35
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.97
- Potential profit
- $68.97
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.14
- Potential profit
- $63.14
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.89
- Potential profit
- $62.89
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.85
No position
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.37
Yes position
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.19
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
Yes position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.74
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.67
No position
Will Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.08
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Minnesota" or "Walz" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Yes position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 16–23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.53
Yes position
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on May 24 at 5 PM ET?
Ends May 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes 9% 166.67 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.9% 555.56 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.3% 384.62 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 25.2% 23.8 shares
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 22% 22.73 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 25% 71.42 shares
- Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB?Yes 93.4% 22.47 shares
- Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?Yes 20% 25 shares
- Will Trump say "Green Day" or "Bad Bunny" this week? (February 8)Yes 48% 20.83 shares
- Will Trump say "Hellhole" this week? (February 8)Yes 59% 8.47 shares