0x63e0...4ca5

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$14

Down position

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$18

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$14.3

Yes position

Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 in June?

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $9.45
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $40.55
Multiplier: 5.29x
User PnL: -$15.2

No position

Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$18.5

No position

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $9.93
Potential payout: $34.87
Potential profit: $24.94
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $20.01
User PnL: -$5.4

No position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?

Ends Sep 11, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$1.8

Up position

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13.4

No position

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $8.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.1
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$1.3

No position

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.3
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.36

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $75 on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12.2

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8.2

Yes position

Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 16m?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6.4

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 52.5 million views on day 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$9.6

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6.8

No position

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,110 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$11.8

Yes position

Will GPT-Bidi-1 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $9.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $10.2
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$2

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8.6

No position

Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.1
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $96 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.21

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

No position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.7%
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $4.45

No position

Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.84

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $75 on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

No position

Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.12

Yes position

Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Down position

Meta (META) Up or Down on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 44%
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $2.5

Up position

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.48

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 in June?

Implied probability: 88%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2

Up position

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will "Choosin’ Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 52.5 million views on day 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 51.5 and 52 million views on day 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Up position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?