No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34K
- Potential profit
- $34K
- User PnL
- -$219.95
Polymarket Trader
kohalacoastgabe
0x63e30d708e4f5ad12581730e5fbaf0e53646f341
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.9K
- Realized PnL
- $14.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $509.99
- Potential payout
- $12.29K
- Potential profit
- $11.78K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$89.99
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $357.15
- Potential payout
- $8.03K
- Potential profit
- $7.67K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$342.83
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $7.44K
- Potential payout
- $7.92K
- Potential profit
- $475.15
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.09K
- Potential profit
- $6.09K
- User PnL
- -$299.99
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $3.18K
- Potential payout
- $5.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.76K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$322.8
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $146.5
- Potential payout
- $5.77K
- Potential profit
- $5.62K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $26.5
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.61K
- Potential profit
- $5.61K
- User PnL
- -$509.99
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $500.26
- Potential payout
- $5.27K
- Potential profit
- $4.77K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$399.73
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $2.32K
- Potential payout
- $3.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$75.52
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $3.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- $513.7
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $54.48
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$145.52
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- User PnL
- -$349.99
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$149.62
Yes position
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $83.02
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$16.98
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $18.47
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$81.53
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $861.28
- Potential profit
- $861.28
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $849.67
- Potential profit
- $849.67
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $22.2
- Potential payout
- $822.24
- Potential profit
- $800.04
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$127.8
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$200
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $965.77
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $959.25
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $754.45
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $728.47
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $624.11
No position
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $617.56
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $562.96
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.65
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.49
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.35
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.49
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $422.13
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.68
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.67
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.55
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $262.74
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.92
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.96
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.16
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.4% 2,083.33 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 40% 1,250 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 13% 620.37 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 17.8% 281.52 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 54.8% 1,823.31 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.4% 1,111.11 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 36.6% 273.5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 72% 1,388.89 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 91.2% 2,773.05 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 93% 400 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 70.7% 707.25 shares
- Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes 7.8% 1,277.29 shares