Polymarket Trader

0x63e3...1cd2

0x63e3f2b4ee4a66163f7bd161998bfdcd46391cd2

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $10.13
Realized PnL: -$14.79
Win rate: 28.6%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $24.88
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $21.19
Potential profit: $20.06
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.9%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $8.3
Multiplier: 5.60x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $3.47
Potential payout: $9.01
Potential profit: $5.54
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.37
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.07
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.6%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $2.62
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $1.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mumbai Indians win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?

No 4.7% 21.19 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?

No 15% 6.67 shares
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?

Yes 96% 1.04 shares
Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

No 0.6% 166.67 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

No 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

No 84.6% 1.18 shares
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Yes 79% 1.27 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 38.1% 2.62 shares
Human moon landing in 2026?

Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares