Polymarket Trader

0x63eFBd82146FEd3443040eB26de1F67aF899C29D-1778730693091

0x63efbd82146fed3443040eb26de1f67af899c29d

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $224.41
Realized PnL: $265.86
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.56K
Potential profit: $18.56K
User PnL: -$18.99

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 53 million views on day 4?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.97K
Potential profit: $8.97K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $127.39
Potential payout: $6.53K
Potential profit: $6.41K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$27.18

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $1.97K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 58 million or more views on day 4?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $5.34
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$34.66

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $24.93
Potential payout: $940.81
Potential profit: $915.88
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $453.86
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.32

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $21.73
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $362.88
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $344.83
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $314.83
Potential profit: $314.83
User PnL: -$18.89

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 4?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310.28
Potential profit: $310.28
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Ends Jan 29, 2027

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $31.33
Potential payout: $243.84
Potential profit: $212.5
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: -$3.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.86

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 2,160 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 81% 93.83 shares
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 7% 214.29 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 3.7% 184.94 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 384.62 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 2,000 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Yes 2.6% 195.19 shares
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 1.1% 454.55 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 2.6% 755.88 shares
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 0.2% 2,500 shares
Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Yes 14.4% 243.84 shares