No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $109.89
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $9.89
Polymarket Trader
Jas0matic
0x63f17c48713e7faa6a3afd153077da48d0d83385
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $494.12
- Realized PnL
- -$103.11
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.21
- Potential profit
- $101.21
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $48
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $18.67
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $54.35
- Potential payout
- $54.35
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Will Trump say "N Word" in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $53.19
- Potential payout
- $53.19
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Will Ryan Seacrest say "Countdown" on New Year's Rockin' Eve?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $35.21
- Potential payout
- $35.21
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.21
No position
US fertility rate up in Q3 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $31.64
- Potential payout
- $31.64
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $11.64
No position
Another Canada election called in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $25.35
- Potential payout
- $25.35
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $23.53
- Potential payout
- $23.53
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $22.17
- Potential payout
- $22.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.23
No position
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.79
- Potential payout
- $20.79
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
NATO Article 5 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Yes position
Will Powell say "Probability" during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ryan Seacrest say "Countdown" on New Year's Rockin' Eve?Yes 95.2% 50 shares
- Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Yes 64% 31.25 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes 85% 23.53 shares
- Another Canada election called in 2025?No 98.6% 25.35 shares
- US fertility rate up in Q3 2025?No 63.2% 31.64 shares
- US strikes Nigeria by December 31?No 96.4% 103.73 shares
- Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No 75% 66.67 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?No 91% 109.89 shares
- Will Trump say "N Word" in December?No 94% 53.19 shares
- Israel strikes Iran before 2026?No 96.2% 20.79 shares
- Will Powell say "Probability" during December press conference?Yes 56.4% 35.44 shares
- Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in December?No 76.4% 22.17 shares