Yes position
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.64K
- Potential profit
- $3.64K
- User PnL
- -$1.82K
Polymarket Trader
hmm ok
0x63f8eb9f5f902f6637f75f10fc185e77b0f660ac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.11K
- Realized PnL
- $232.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Milton make landfall as a category 2 or lower?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$120.45
No position
Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $140
Yes position
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 3 or more on Sept 27?
Ends Sep 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $110.79
- Potential payout
- $110.79
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $50.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 90 ETH on December 23, 2021?
Ends Dec 23, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1289131.28x
- User PnL
- $50.99K
No position
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6047182.21x
- User PnL
- $23.23K
Y
Yes position
Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 8543529.51x
- User PnL
- $16.48K
Yes position
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
Ends Apr 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 11055658.86x
- User PnL
- $14K
N
No position
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2059373.90x
- User PnL
- $13.8K
No position
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021?
Ends Nov 2, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53K
No position
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
Ends May 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.52K
Yes position
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 13?
Ends Nov 14, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2288357.31x
- User PnL
- $9.5K
No position
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 4, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 8938925.74x
- User PnL
- $9.06K
Democratic position
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
Ends Nov 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.95K
Yes position
Will Black Widow be the highest grossing domestic film of 2021?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2480129.84x
- User PnL
- $8.84K
No position
Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021?
Ends Aug 10, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 44910206.77x
- User PnL
- $7.35K
No position
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021?
Ends Nov 11, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
Ends Sep 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 53101343.73x
- User PnL
- $4.88K
No position
Chess: Will the Van't Kruijs Opening (1. e3) be played at 2021 FIDE World Blitz Championship Open?
Ends Dec 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6385195.28x
- User PnL
- $4.83K
Yes position
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
Ends Oct 5, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6692579.53x
- User PnL
- $4.8K
Yes position
Will the winner of the 2021 FIDE Chess.com Grand Swiss Tournament represent the United States/Russia?
Ends Nov 7, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 4077324.16x
- User PnL
- $4.48K
Yes position
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1?
Ends Apr 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16K
Yes position
NFL: Will the Colts beat the Jets by more than 10.5 points in their November 4th matchup?
Ends Nov 4, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6, 2023?
Ends Jan 6, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1526430.04x
- User PnL
- $3.91K
No position
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 55 ETH on December 23, 2021?
Ends Dec 23, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75K
No position
Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before Christmas?
Ends Dec 25, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2132336.62x
- User PnL
- $3.31K
Y
Yes position
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021?
Ends Mar 16, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 457125.59x
- User PnL
- $3.13K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Milton make landfall as a category 2 or lower?Yes 10.8% 450 shares
- Will Milton make landfall as a category 2 or lower?Yes 11.6% 1,556.8 shares
- Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance 63% 99.99 shares
- Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance 59% 73.61 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 49.5% 20,000.01 shares
- Will Kamala say "Artificial Intelligence" at debate?Yes 33% 100 shares
- Will Kamala say "liar" at debate?No 63.9% 100 shares
- Will Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate?No 42% 100 shares
- Will Trump say "McDonald's" at debate?No 85% 100 shares
- Will Trump say "Marxist" at debate?No 38% 200 shares
- Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate?No 41% 100 shares
- Will Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times at debate?No 72% 100 shares