0x6400219CCCC8EAaA22729253111fD6660D20331a-1759869298583

Implied probability: 90.8%
Current value: $527.96
Potential payout: $581.78
Potential profit: $53.81
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$27.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $569.89
Potential payout: $580.64
Potential profit: $10.74
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$2.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $562.89
Potential payout: $566.29
Potential profit: $3.4
User PnL: $27.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $557.46
Potential payout: $561.39
Potential profit: $3.93
User PnL: $3.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $554.75
Potential payout: $559.51
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $498.51
Potential payout: $505.33
Potential profit: $6.82
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$1.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $450.61
Potential payout: $454.25
Potential profit: $3.63
User PnL: $4.68

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 18?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $329.79
Potential payout: $333.46
Potential profit: $3.67
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $296.32
Potential payout: $319.31
Potential profit: $22.99
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$7.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or below on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $299.25
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $0.75
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $224.73
Potential payout: $233.73
Potential profit: $9
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 92.6%
Current value: $209.21
Potential payout: $226.05
Potential profit: $16.84
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$1.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $204.07
Potential payout: $216.86
Potential profit: $12.79
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $8.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.5
Potential profit: $216.5
User PnL: -$197.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $214.59
Potential payout: $216.21
Potential profit: $1.62
User PnL: $13.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.75
Potential profit: $213.75
User PnL: -$202.71

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $165.64
Potential payout: $202
Potential profit: $36.36
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$34.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $188.75
Potential payout: $190.08
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $113.67
Potential payout: $113.78
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $10.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $110.9
Potential payout: $111.96
Potential profit: $1.06
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $107.95
Potential payout: $108.6
Potential profit: $0.65
User PnL: $3.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $98.28
Potential payout: $104
Potential profit: $5.72
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$3.3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $90.9
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $10.1
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$9.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $94.7
Potential payout: $95.37
Potential profit: $0.67
User PnL: $0.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $957.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $752.25

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on January 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $685.89

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $644.45

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $605.21

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $571.55

Up position

XRP Up or Down - December 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.79

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $477.27

Down position

XRP Up or Down - November 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $467.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465.41

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $452.13

Down position

Solana Up or Down - November 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.61

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.12

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $446.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.96

Up position

XRP Up or Down - December 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $433.28

Down position

XRP Up or Down - December 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $427.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.05

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.07

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $415.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $411.56

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET