No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $16.19
- Potential payout
- $16.5
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Polymarket Trader
0x6401eBBe803217C1e729f082a09ca66C3794f004-1772422685882
0x6401ebbe803217c1e729f082a09ca66c3794f004
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $134.24
- Realized PnL
- $141.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by between 0% and 3.00%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will James Mendrick win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $7.82
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.57
No position
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $7.92
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $8.19
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $7.69
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $7.23
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.97
No position
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
USD1 depeg by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $7.93
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.68
No position
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $8.16
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Plasma reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $7.88
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.63
No position
Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $8.36
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $7.86
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $7.96
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $4.29
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $4.21
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$3.19
No position
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.9%
- Current value
- $6.55
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
No position
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.93
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98
No position
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
Yes position
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
Will Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88
No position
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
No position
Will Phan Vฤn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by between 0% and 3.00%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84
No position
Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84
No position
Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-03 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.81
Yes position
Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.77
No position
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74
No position
US strike on Colombia by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74
No position
Will James Mendrick win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.66
No position
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $5.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes 2.1% 8.5 shares
- Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 3% 6.54 shares
- Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 1.7% 8.5 shares
- Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026?Yes 0.3% 8.5 shares
- Will Consensys IPO by March 31 2026?Yes 0.2% 8.5 shares
- Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?Yes 1.1% 12 shares
- Will Russia join the Board of Peace?Yes 0.3% 12 shares
- US strike on Colombia by March 31?Yes 0.3% 12 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?Yes 0.1% 12 shares
- StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 97.4% 8.5 shares
- StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes 2.5% 8.5 shares
- Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?No 83% 8.5 shares