Polymarket Trader

pop

0x6404bfa37fe830e29ee8967e1c3b2a8091d5f250

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.4K
Realized PnL: $114.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $7.95K
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $52
User PnL: $596

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $6.45K
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $48.75
User PnL: $731.25

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$90

Kopylov position

UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylov

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.01K

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274.35
Potential profit: $274.35
User PnL: -$96.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?

Ends Sep 1, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1294176.49x
User PnL: $13.11K

Yes position

Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting?

Ends Jul 27, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 663677.72x
User PnL: $9.34K

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.34K

Yes position

Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 2485087.40x
User PnL: $8.55K

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4K

Yes position

Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30?

Ends Jul 31, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 11237.15x
User PnL: $7.21K

No position

Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting?

Ends Jul 27, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 685621.67x
User PnL: $6.83K

Titans position

NFL Monday: Titans vs. Bills

Ends Sep 19, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 8550082.95x
User PnL: $4.47K

No position

Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022?

Ends Oct 1, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 874623.55x
User PnL: $4.45K

No position

Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022?

Ends Jan 1, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 2509829.83x
User PnL: $4.19K

Yes position

Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 881878.02x
User PnL: $4.1K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79K

Yes position

Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 439814.79x
User PnL: $3.63K

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31K

No position

Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August?

Ends Aug 31, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 393054.39x
User PnL: $3.19K

Yes position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18K

Yes position

Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022?

Ends Oct 1, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1084136.03x
User PnL: $3.16K

No position

Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?

Ends Jan 1, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1051547.04x
User PnL: $2.78K

No position

Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022?

Ends Sep 16, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 683495.86x
User PnL: $2.65K

Yes position

Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43K

Yes position

Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41K

Republican position

Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado?

Ends Nov 15, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 7630.94x
User PnL: $1.86K

Yes position

Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022?

Ends Dec 15, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 2141.92x
User PnL: $1.74K

Yes position

Will Canada qualify from Group F?

Ends Dec 6, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 980836.18x
User PnL: $1.58K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 88% 2,010 shares
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Yes 73% 407 shares
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Yes 70.7% 3,746.92 shares
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylov

Kopylov 67% 1,500 shares
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez

Rodriguez 16% 500 shares
UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull

Pitbull 33% 500 shares
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Yes 94% 4,000 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

No 85.4% 100 shares
Israel military action against Iran before July?

No 74% 485.97 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

No 60.4% 6,514.65 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

No 37% 1,285.2 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

No 57% 3,000 shares