Raman-

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.3K
Potential profit: $10.3K
User PnL: -$10.3

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$13.19

No position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.64K
Potential profit: $7.64K
User PnL: -$70.78

No position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.36K
Potential profit: $5.36K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.32K
Potential profit: $5.32K
User PnL: -$26.79

No position

Will "Obsession" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.54K
Potential profit: $4.54K
User PnL: -$42.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in May 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.88K
Potential profit: $3.88K
User PnL: -$7.69

Yes position

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $3.16K
User PnL: -$5.8

No position

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.72K
Potential profit: $2.72K
User PnL: -$29.59

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will Trump Leave China on May 15?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $2.45K
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $2.19K
User PnL: -$29.3

No position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.12K
User PnL: -$15.7

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $2.09K
User PnL: -$14.74

Yes position

Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.99K
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 4m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.75K
User PnL: -$15.3

Yes position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$35.3

Yes position

Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$9.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$9.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $581.41

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.12

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.54

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.44

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.93

No position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.76

Yes position

Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.28

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.97

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.45

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.42

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 51 and 52 million views on day 3?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.72

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.54

No position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?