Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $26.79
- Potential payout
- $5.95K
- Potential profit
- $5.93K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$857.2
Polymarket Trader
Agentstvonasilia
0x6413bd26ffa5fcca38b93e4e5b8f3303ca32ab24
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $371.19
- Realized PnL
- $725.03
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $246.7
- Potential payout
- $5.36K
- Potential profit
- $5.12K
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- -$136.69
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $52.47
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$1.54K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $45.22
- Potential payout
- $532.03
- Potential profit
- $486.81
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$267.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.03
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $89.29
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.89
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.69
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.29
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.47
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $15.62
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
Yes position
Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.53
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$64.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Yes 18.9% 999.99 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 2.2% 13,467.85 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes 12% 5 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?Yes 17% 66.33 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?Yes 16% 50 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 4.5% 5,536.96 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 6.3% 3,953.97 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 6.3% 3,652.33 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 37.2% 349.08 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 58.8% 532.03 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 9.1% 3,437.1 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 68% 729.91 shares