Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $989.5
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$269.5
Polymarket Trader
ternersar
0x6416a10a6da9feef3e82f04abaab24d3a6d854d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $203.68
- Realized PnL
- $270.21
- Win rate
- 76.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $193.18
- Potential payout
- $757.58
- Potential profit
- $564.39
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$56.82
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $434.36
- Potential profit
- $434.36
- User PnL
- -$250
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.57
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.28
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.38
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.97
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.44
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.29
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.89
Yes position
Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.89
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.85
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.51
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.55
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.23
Yes position
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$128.24
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$147.18
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$286.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 33% 757.58 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No 74.9% 63.81 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No 17.3% 275.31 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No 74.2% 199.29 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 81% 123.95 shares
- Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?No 57.6% 434.36 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 64% 234.38 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No 63.9% 275.31 shares
- US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?No 57.7% 313.57 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No 70.4% 400.15 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No 74% 218.34 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No 71% 140.85 shares