No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5M
- Potential profit
- $1.5M
- User PnL
- -$3K
Polymarket Trader
0x6418c5AC5e70C42FaA142A2E7506F202c563730C-1767527684906
0x6418c5ac5e70c42faa142a2e7506f202c563730c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.36K
- Realized PnL
- $91.09K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $389.53K
- Potential profit
- $388.16K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$134.78
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $302.46K
- Potential profit
- $302.46K
- User PnL
- -$2.09K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.31K
- Potential profit
- $27.31K
- User PnL
- -$5.02K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.84K
- Potential profit
- $26.84K
- User PnL
- -$7.67K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.35K
- Potential profit
- $19.35K
- User PnL
- -$104.99
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.62K
- Potential profit
- $12.62K
- User PnL
- -$5.07K
N
No position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.89K
- Potential profit
- $9.89K
- User PnL
- -$300.78
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.05K
- Potential profit
- $4.05K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$758.14
N
No position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- User PnL
- -$7.48
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $100.01
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.05K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $6.16K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $1.95K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $895.54
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $802.39
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $548.73
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507.13
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.55
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.49
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $231
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $228
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.4
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 47%
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$28.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.6% 13,333.33 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.4% 76,069 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.1% 134,605.46 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.3% 200,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.6% 200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.6% 18,088 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.5% 81,837.87 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 2.9% 34,605.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 5.2% 7,143 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 5.2% 19,145.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 5.3% 18,734.07 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 14.2% 7,066.8 shares