Polymarket Trader

Abchjac

0x6423f5f468246c2da8892e6711c4921d80528317

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $136.89
Realized PnL: -$11.19
Win rate: 72.7%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$85.54

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $413.78
Potential profit: $413.78
User PnL: -$60.61

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $13.95
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $296.05
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$35.65

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $19.55
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $210.45
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$17.25

Yes position

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $109.99
Potential profit: $106.91
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.85
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $8.55
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $81.45
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $29.64
Potential payout: $78
Potential profit: $48.36
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $11.48

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $67.94
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$8.44

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $21.63
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $36.06
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$8.37

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $12.15
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $17.85
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $13.73
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $4.8

No position

Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $1

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $2.37
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $0.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.19

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $20.4

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $17.09

Yes position

Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $17.08

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $1.75

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$20.45

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$81.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

No 80% 20 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?

No 10% 30 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?

No 10% 20 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

No 72% 20 shares
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

Yes 2.9% 109.99 shares
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Yes 3% 100 shares
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?

Yes 55% 29.99 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

No 91% 29.99 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 24% 50 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 60% 25 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 22% 28 shares
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?

Yes 70% 25 shares