Polymarket Trader

Mr.Polaki

0x6435933d924e35f2f242db670d3697eba3e1cbc8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $83.66
Realized PnL: $2.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.66K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.99

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.21K
Potential profit: $4.21K
User PnL: -$136.03

No position

Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.97K
User PnL: -$90

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $2.56K
User PnL: -$545.1

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.83
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $2.55K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$19.16

Yes position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.65K
User PnL: -$14.8

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $810.42
Potential profit: $810.42
User PnL: -$390

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $627.86
Potential profit: $627.86
User PnL: -$116.63

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $609.76
Potential profit: $609.76
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $69.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $430.75
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$10.75

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $483.87
Potential profit: $483.87
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 255,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $354.09
Potential profit: $354.09
User PnL: -$51.82

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $192.98
Potential profit: $192.4
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$5.21

No position

Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.02
Potential profit: $92.02
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.52
Potential profit: $59.52
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $636.92

No position

Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.55

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.7

Yes position

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $142.85

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.42

No position

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.62

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.65

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.94

Yes position

Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.22

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.7

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.29

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.38

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.29

Yes position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.84

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.51

No position

Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.9

Yes position

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.62

No position

Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.34

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.67

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.9

Yes position

Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.64

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 6,666.66 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 3.1% 651.18 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 1,111.11 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

No 42% 261.9 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 4,999.97 shares
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

No 4.1% 609.76 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

Yes 13.5% 190.38 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

No 57% 140.35 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 333.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Up 19% 5.26 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

Yes 15.8% 190.39 shares
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Yes 86% 81.4 shares