Polymarket Trader

gem-bot

0x643c3ebb4cfb727b95647a06eec0bdf7e70a3fc2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.65K
Realized PnL: $9.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $7.01
Potential payout: $4.67K
Potential profit: $4.67K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$36.33

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $1.63K
Potential payout: $4.59K
Potential profit: $2.96K
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$1.54K

No position

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.7K
User PnL: -$1.54K

Yes position

Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 22.1%
Current value: $188.42
Potential payout: $854.49
Potential profit: $666.08
Multiplier: 4.54x
User PnL: $112.37

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $61.67
Potential payout: $540.99
Potential profit: $479.32
Multiplier: 8.77x
User PnL: -$8.66

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $142.8
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $277.2
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$30.24

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $410.5
Potential profit: $407.42
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $73.18
Potential payout: $365
Potential profit: $291.82
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $219.99
Potential profit: $218.12
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$11.33

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.78
Potential profit: $218.78
User PnL: -$99.64

Yes position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $172.17
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$20.15

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $3.8
Potential payout: $152
Potential profit: $148.2
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$6.84

No position

Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $82.43
Potential payout: $147.2
Potential profit: $64.77
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $16.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.17
Potential profit: $142.17
User PnL: -$62.92

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $90.95
Potential payout: $141
Potential profit: $50.06
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $78.26

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.56
Potential profit: $138.56
User PnL: -$37.41

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $122.45
Potential payout: $122.51
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $30.81

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.08
Potential profit: $115.08
User PnL: -$60.99

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $50.7
Potential payout: $98.45
Potential profit: $47.75
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$19.38

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.61
Potential profit: $97.61
User PnL: -$69.3

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $80.32
Potential payout: $93.95
Potential profit: $13.62
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $10.8

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $66.73
Potential payout: $88.38
Potential profit: $21.65
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $22.74

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $45.63
Potential payout: $73
Potential profit: $27.38
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$3.29

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $66.59
Potential profit: $66.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$53.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09K

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Under position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $891.34

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $176.18

Hornets position

Heat vs. Hornets

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.78

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.37

REKONIX position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.44

Over position

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.92

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.07

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.17

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.52

Lakers position

Spread: Rockets (-8.5)

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.79

Hamad Medjedovic position

Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.6

Team Vitality position

LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.39

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.35

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.62

PlayTime position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.87

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.75

Over position

Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.24

Magic position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.65

New York Mets position

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.99

Yes position

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $21.35

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.33

Ignacio Buse position

Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Jakub Mensik

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 26% 140 shares
Netanyahu out by June 30?

Yes 0.7% 1,642 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Yes 27.4% 156 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 62% 315.32 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 62.9% 345.93 shares
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima

Alex de Minaur 71% 15 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 68% 366.31 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 62% 448.31 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 58.3% 530.26 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 55% 621.27 shares
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima

Alex de Minaur 71% 16.27 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 74% 93.95 shares