Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $12.66
- Potential payout
- $744.45
- Potential profit
- $731.8
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$7.34
Polymarket Trader
leonidvolkov
0x643f9d7d7984c437c68aeff3f1b3c192a4d36663
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $208.26
- Realized PnL
- $823.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $470.62
- Potential profit
- $470.62
- User PnL
- -$65
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.9%
- Current value
- $77.17
- Potential payout
- $241.92
- Potential profit
- $164.75
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.49
- Potential profit
- $236.49
- User PnL
- -$10.75
Yes position
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $47.75
- Potential payout
- $227.37
- Potential profit
- $179.62
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$17.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220.45
- Potential profit
- $220.45
- User PnL
- -$36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $215.15
- Potential profit
- $215.15
- User PnL
- -$65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.2
- Potential profit
- $210.2
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $24.73
- Potential payout
- $197.01
- Potential profit
- $172.29
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$5.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.55
- Potential profit
- $176.55
- User PnL
- -$37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170.77
- Potential profit
- $170.77
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.39
- Potential profit
- $166.39
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.65
- Potential profit
- $158.65
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155.56
- Potential profit
- $155.56
- User PnL
- -$13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.14
- Potential profit
- $141.14
- User PnL
- -$27.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.81
- Potential profit
- $139.81
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $138.89
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.6%
- Current value
- $31.29
- Potential payout
- $122.45
- Potential profit
- $91.17
- Multiplier
- 3.91x
- User PnL
- $1.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.44
- Potential profit
- $121.44
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $14.67
- Potential payout
- $119.76
- Potential profit
- $105.09
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$5.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.27
- Potential profit
- $116.27
- User PnL
- -$16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.82
- Potential profit
- $108.82
- User PnL
- -$28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.59
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $29.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.26
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 14?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.86
Yulia Starodubtseva position
Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtseva
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.3
Mirra Andreeva position
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreeva
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.18
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.75
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETUp 42% 7.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETUp 44% 56.77 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown 46.5% 21.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown 58% 15.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown 33% 15.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETUp 71.9% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETUp 40% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETUp 33% 90.91 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETUp 39.9% 41.8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETUp 29.1% 55.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETUp 17% 58.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETUp 38% 52.63 shares