Polymarket Trader

KiwiNotTheFruit

0x6440e0006a0fba7169877e990a2013e00e4628cd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.3K
Realized PnL: $233.22
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.64K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$80.97

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $11.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $488.25
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$6.75

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $416.25
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $33.75
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $92.25

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$108

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $334
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $66
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $111.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $138.75
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $33.75

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $109
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $91
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $89

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.4%
Current value: $160.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $39.3
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $14.7

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $15.3
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $164.7
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$15.3

No position

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $143.78
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $6.22
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $19.28

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.74
Potential profit: $91.74
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.52

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

No 83% 150 shares
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 3.7% 114.06 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 17% 180 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

No 84% 400 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 10% 200 shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 31% 250 shares
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 13.4% 58 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 72% 450 shares
Maduro out in 2025?

No 70% 47.95 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 82.8% 67.55 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Yes 27% 400 shares
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

No 92% 140 shares