Polymarket Trader

0x6447...7953

0x64474ae98429d74dbe564d401ecf401338a17953

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $23.33
Realized PnL: $774.55
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

XRP Up or Down - March 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.66
Potential profit: $170.66
User PnL: -$11.85

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.68
Potential profit: $49.68
User PnL: -$9.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.69
Potential profit: $44.69
User PnL: -$9.38

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8.93

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $9
User PnL: -$7.92

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.7

Yes position

Will more than 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.8

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.49

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $4.43
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.16

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.24

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.51

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.21

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.58

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.56

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.69

Rex Regum Qeon position

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 1 Winner

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.2

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.1

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.85

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.65

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.95

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.6

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.08

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.15

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 29 above $350?

Yes 96% 5 shares
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

No 94.1% 5 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?

Yes 97.8% 5 shares
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $380 on July 1?

Yes 94% 5 shares
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be greater than $28B at market close on IPO day?

No 98% 5 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?

No 96% 5 shares
Will Meta (META) close above $580 on July 1?

Yes 95% 5 shares
Will Meta (META) close above $570 on July 1?

Yes 98% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 2?

No 94% 5 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

No 94.9% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 1?

No 94% 5 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 94% 5 shares