No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.11
- Potential payout
- $15.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.11
Polymarket Trader
0x6447...4759
0x6447af09e484f912a05ec5c35d1c8142935e4759
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $82.05
- Realized PnL
- $11.2
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.1
- Potential payout
- $13.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.1
- Potential payout
- $13.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.41
- Potential payout
- $10.41
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.1
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $5.22
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Megadeth by Megadeth be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 7?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 29, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,775 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 30?No 99.3% 10.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?No 95.8% 5.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 30?No 99.2% 13.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No 99.2% 13.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No 99.3% 15.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?No 99% 10.1 shares
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.2% 1,775 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No 99.2% 13.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 2?No 98% 9.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 2?No 95.5% 5.23 shares
- Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 98.7% 15.55 shares