Polymarket Trader

0x6447ff744119c3EF0a8e94D726A73CbdfC87ae55-1775320483678

0x6447ff744119c3ef0a8e94d726a73cbdfc87ae55

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.86
Realized PnL: $11.77
Win rate: 55%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.6
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $89.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.61
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $5.94
Potential payout: $29.76
Potential profit: $23.82
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $6.53
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $8.48
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $3.4

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$1.44

Egypt position

Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.3

No position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$2.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.99

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $6.71

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.41

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.67

No position

Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.67

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.61

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.76

No position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.22

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 51.2%
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$4.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

No 39% 7 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 38% 15 shares
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12% 12 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 15.19 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 333.33 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 89.29 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.9% 15.2 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score

No 41% 4.88 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 60.61 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 32% 15.63 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 37% 13.15 shares