Polymarket Trader

fourtrader2222

0x644ced68d9f30799de5c5afcb1022c8194919b6a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $47.92
Realized PnL: $454.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $8.16
Potential payout: $175.44
Potential profit: $167.28
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$1.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.48
Potential profit: $79.48
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $39.71
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $19.12
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$8.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.05
Potential profit: $44.05
User PnL: -$30

Curaçao position

Spread: Germany (-3.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.91
Potential profit: $30.91
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$24.75

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$24.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$24.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.97
Potential profit: $24.97
User PnL: -$23.24

Senegal position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.31
Potential profit: $21.31
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$9.2

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-4.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$10

Under position

Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $16.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $16.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C or higher on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $16.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $16.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $16.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $16.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $16.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.77

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $26.66

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.66

No position

Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.7

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.53

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 26?

Yes 0.1% 17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?

Yes 95% 5.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?

Yes 51% 7.64 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?

Yes 55% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?

Yes 54.1% 5.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 68% 58.82 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?

Yes 72.5% 17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 26?

No 94% 17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 3.7% 5.27 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 94.6% 122.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 84.9% 58.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 85.3% 58.62 shares