Polymarket Trader

gamblito

0x6452eee1d08be21886bafcc4cc41ef4bb53130a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.17K
Realized PnL: $27.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.34K
Potential payout: $513.5K
Potential profit: $510.16K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.04K

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $250K
Potential profit: $248.88K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$374.75

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $599.21
Potential payout: $239.68K
Potential profit: $239.08K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$130.63

Yes position

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.51K
Potential payout: $200.98K
Potential profit: $199.47K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $149.53

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $500
Potential payout: $90.91K
Potential profit: $90.41K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$499.91

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57K
Potential profit: $28.57K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63K
Potential profit: $15.63K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $100.76
Potential payout: $13.43K
Potential profit: $13.33K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$45.9

Yes position

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $195.05
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.81K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$65.04

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $746.3
Potential payout: $9.63K
Potential profit: $8.88K
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$253.69

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $4.51K
Potential payout: $8.13K
Potential profit: $3.62K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$487.1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $998.61
Potential payout: $7.77K
Potential profit: $6.77K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $98.62

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $43.05
Potential payout: $5.74K
Potential profit: $5.7K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$39.68

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.18K
Potential profit: $5.18K
User PnL: -$1.78K

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $3.97K
Potential profit: $2.96K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $13.58

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $794.49
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$6.79

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $413.89
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$86.11

Yes position

Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 3 Panama?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$30

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.94K
User PnL: -$1.4K

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.57K
User PnL: -$1.27K

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $773.75
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $672.51
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$226.25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 28.9%
Current value: $395.88
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $976.31
Multiplier: 3.47x
User PnL: $195.88

No position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $817.29
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $522.53
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$182.71

No position

Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $128.79
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $97.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95K

No position

Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48K

No position

Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27K

Yes position

Will AS Roma vs. AC Milan end in a draw?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

No position

Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $918.59

Yes position

Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $810

No position

Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $754.3

No position

Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $742.5

No position

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $664.28

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $636.34

Yes position

Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $604.54

No position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $599.12

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $503.92

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.86

Yes position

Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466.67

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.32

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $439.21

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425

No position

Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.06

Yes position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.9% 400,325.14 shares
Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 3 Panama?

Yes 1.4% 2,084.67 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.4% 3,225.81 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 29,411.76 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

No 25% 800 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 0.23 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 4,629.63 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Yes 8.5% 2,500.24 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 81% 1,571.6 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 90,909.09 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

No 52.1% 463.31 shares
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 61.5% 8,131.34 shares