No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $2.82K
- Potential profit
- $916
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Polymarket Trader
nobtc
0x645a91730f588c5586e8860936a7e3554303fd84
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.39K
- Realized PnL
- $8.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $803.06
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$24.49
No position
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $703.58
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$110.99
No position
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$835.55
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $774.38
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$84.14
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $374.5
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- -$476.11
No position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- User PnL
- -$833.64
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $685.61
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $383.19
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $639.6
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $444.08
No position
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $133.21
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$657.48
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- User PnL
- -$738.65
No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $951.97
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $794.77
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $102.29
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $601.04
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $282.5
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $468.9
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $409.19
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- User PnL
- -$836.62
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $226.44
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$609.16
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.7%
- Current value
- $462.91
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 3.61x
- User PnL
- -$363.72
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- User PnL
- -$446.83
N
No position
Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$539.79
No position
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $322.49
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$151.32
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $574.3
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $957.16
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$280.36
No position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- User PnL
- -$834.68
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $580.65
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $927.53
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $37.84
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $654.99
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $850.74
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$203.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $705.37
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $595.51
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $581.65
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $547.42
No position
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $479.16
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.42
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.22
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.53
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $372.85
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $337.55
No position
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.79
No position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.72
No position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.47
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.69
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $274.3
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.68
No position
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.05
No position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.42
No position
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.59
No position
Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $244.04
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.84
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $237.96
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.83
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?No 79% 1.27 shares